The dynamic characteristics of automobile demand are critical for national economic and revenue predictions. Automobile demand and ownership level forecasts are also the basis for travel demand models, land use-transport interaction models, and transport policies and regulations. This article develops a dynamic automobile demand simulation model using a simultaneous-equation system. The system considers the interaction between supply and demand and the resulting equilibrium. The model includes the current and lagged automobile quantity and price variables; economic, financial and operating cost variables; and income and government policy variables. The capabilities of the model are demonstrated through performing a number of simulation experiments considering various growth-development scenarios, changes in operating costs, government policies towards automobile imports, and demographic/employment shifts.
The issue of identification of dynamic parameters in open-chain industrial manipulators is addressed with emphasis on the physical feasibility of the identified set of parameters. The dynamic model on which the identification procedure is based considers rigid-link robots including a complete actuator dynamics modeling and is obtained starting from the Gibbs–Appell equations. Friction at the joints is also considered. The dynamic equations of the model are written linearly with respect to the dynamic parameters to be identified. The matrix form linear system is solved through a quadratic optimization procedure with non-linear constraints in order to ensure the physical feasibility of the identified parameters. The procedure is tested using a PUMA 560 industrial robot. A comparison between control actions and torques obtained from the Inverse Dynamic Problem considering identified parameters is performed in order to establish the validity of the proposed procedure. The set of physically feasible dynamic parameters is used in an integration of the equations of motion of the robot and the results of the simulation are compared with the robot actual movement.