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Traffic Forecasting For Small- To Medium-Sized Urban Areas

Journal Title, Volume, Page: 
ITE J. ; Vol/Issue: 56:10
Year of Publication: 
1986
Authors: 
S A. Abu-Eisheth
Current Affiliation: 
Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, An-Najah National University, Nablus. Palestine
F L. MANNERING
Preferred Abstract (Original): 

In recent years there has been a noticeable shift away from the application of computer-based transportation modeling methods in small- to medium-sized urban areas.^In many cases, this shift has resulted from a disenchantment with the complex modeling methodologies used in the late 1960s and early 1970s.^The expense of such methods, in terms of data collection and computational costs, was simply not worth the marginal improvement in forecasting accuracy over ``quick-response`` methods.^This article describes a recently developed methodological package that can be readily applied to forecast the traffic-related impacts of a wide range of transportation-facility-related improvements.^The package uses some of the most advanced transportation analysis techniques to predict traffic flows and measure the performance of specific highway links and the network as a whole.^In addition, an attempt is made to keep data requirements to a minimum.

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